Prevalence and the Base Rate Fallacy
A deep dive into the theory of PPVs using Bayes' Theorem. Or, how diagnostic test calculators work, the hidden gotcha with blind testing and as a bonus: extraterrestrials.
Art is never finished, only abandoned
A deep dive into the theory of PPVs using Bayes' Theorem. Or, how diagnostic test calculators work, the hidden gotcha with blind testing and as a bonus: extraterrestrials.