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Prevalence and the Base Rate Fallacy
A deep dive into the theory of PPVs using Bayes' Theorem. Or, how diagnostic test calculators work, the hidden gotcha with blind testing and as a bonus: extraterrestrials.
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Quarantine World
Mid May. The world has shutdown. We’re locked in our pods. Got a text from my friend, singer Danielle Reich, about doing a remote duet. We settled on the…
